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The Cardano price is showing strong signs of accumulation as October unfolds, with both technical and fundamental factors pointing to a potential rally toward the $1.10 region. As institutional attention grows and new ETF filings surface, momentum around ADA crypto continues to build, setting the stage for a decisive breakout.

ADA Price Approaches Critical Resistance on 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour Cardano price chart, ADA has been forming a narrowing structure within a falling wedge pattern. Recently, the price has held firm around the $0.80–$0.85 support zone, while momentum indicators hint at an upcoming push higher.

Market observers like Ali Martinez notes that a break above the $0.90 level could act as a trigger, paving the way toward the next major resistance at $1.10. 

— Ali (@ali_charts) October 7, 2025 This level, according to many traders, represents the upper border of the wedge pattern that has confined ADA for weeks. With price tightening and volatility contracting, conditions are aligning for a potential mid-October breakout.

Institutional Interest and ETF Developments Boost Optimism

Beyond chart dynamics, fundamentals are turning increasingly favorable. One of the strongest bullish catalysts is the growing institutional interest in ADA crypto, especially as ETF-related news gains traction. 

This week, new filings revealed that Rex Shares and Osprey Funds have jointly submitted an application for a staking-backed Cardano ETF to the U.S. SEC. In total, 21 ETF products are reportedly filed for other assets also.

If approved, these funds would allow investors to gain exposure to ADA price USD while earning staking rewards. Such products could bring significant liquidity inflows to Cardano, amplifying its market appeal among both retail and institutional participants.

h/t @Todd_Sohn pic.twitter.com/M5reSPDUPT — James Seyffart (@JSeyff) October 3, 2025 Also, the other AUMs filing with the SEC are pending. An ETF decision could come positively this month; odds suggest many new ETF products would be approved, which will pump liquidity into Cardano-related products and other altcoin-related products also. 

This adds an important narrative to the Cardano price forecast, as it may determine whether ADA transitions from accumulation to acceleration.

Long-Term Structure Mirrors Past Bull Cycle

On higher timeframes, the Cardano price chart paints an equally promising picture. Analysts note that ADA’s current setup closely resembles the early stages of its previous bull cycle, during which the asset surged from modest levels to all-time highs.

— JAVONMARKS (@JavonTM1) March 19, 2025 In particular, the current curved breakout formation on ADA’s chart resembles the one that triggered explosive gains in the past. If history repeats, the first major target stands near $2.77, implying a 220% gain from current prices. A more extended rally, should momentum persist, could drive ADA price toward $7.82, marking an 800% surge.